Yes. While the current posts of FARC leaders aren’t dependent on four-year election cycles or term limits, Pres. Santos’ or any Colombian president’s is. This could be seen as putting by definition any president at a disadvantage regarding time, of … [Continue reading]
No, as long as Pres. Santos and the FARC keep reaching agreement on the Colombian government’s and FARC’s respective essentials and red-line positions. Two of the biggest FARC red-lines are already tackled in the victims’/justice agreement: A) that … [Continue reading]
The sky will not fall, if no overall peace accord is signed by March 23, and even if there is no accord some time after that date. The political opposition would probably seize on the passing of March 23 without an overall peace accord signed as an … [Continue reading]
A breakdown of the FARC’s current unilateral “indefinite” cease-fire and renewed fighting and destruction would undercut confidence in the Colombian peace process. Potential saboteurs could also up-end the peace talks. But some non-violent things … [Continue reading]
Human Rights Watch’s Jose Miguel Vivanco and his colleagues produced a report calling the agreement on victims’/justice “pacting impunity” and a “piñata of impunity” primarily because the big majority of serious war crimes would not be tried and … [Continue reading]